How should scenario-based implications be presented to convey uncertainty?

• A. A single scenario is enough to guide decisions.
• B. Present only historical scenarios with no current context.
• C. Compare multiple plausible scenarios to illustrate implications and uncertainties.
• D. Exclude scenarios to avoid confusion.

Answer: (C)

Presenting a range of plausible futures is essential for conveying uncertainty. When you compare multiple scenarios, you show how different assumptions about drivers lead to different implications, making the range of possible outcomes visible and helping decisions account for what might happen under varying conditions. This approach reveals which outcomes are sensitive to key factors, highlights trade-offs, and supports building flexible, robust strategies that perform reasonably well across futures. Relying on a single scenario can create a false sense of certainty, focusing only on historical contexts may miss new dynamics, and excluding scenarios entirely omits the uncertainty planners need to manage. A practical way is to present a small set of well‑constructed scenarios—baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic—each with its implications and the actions it would prompt.