Which step involves organizing drivers into paired matrices?

• A. Define focal issue
• B. Pair drivers in matrices
• C. Brainstorm key drivers
• D. Develop stories for quadrants

Answer: (B)

Pairing drivers in matrices is the step that turns a list of driving forces into structured combinations. By placing two key drivers on opposite axes of a matrix, you create four quadrants that each represent a distinct, plausible future based on how those drivers interact. This framing highlights how different uncertainties combine to shape outcomes, making it possible to analyze interdependencies, identify which combinations matter most, and set up concrete scenarios for narrative development. After this pairing, you then develop stories for each quadrant to flesh out how events might unfold. The other steps—defining the focal issue, brainstorming key drivers, and crafting quadrant narratives—support different parts of the process but don’t organize drivers into paired matrices themselves.